Fantasy Preview – Match Week 3

We did it folks! We made it through another week of fantasy Premier League and we’re better for it.

It is becoming clearer with each passing day which teams and players will be fantasy assets this season and which will likely fall short of their pre-season potential. If you happen to have bet on a player getting minutes that simply hasn’t (Mkhitaryan, Fabregas, Hart, etc) do not panic! You still have 36 weeks to set things right. If your team is really in dire need of new blood you can always use your wildcard, just be sure to wait until after the transfer window and the coming international break are over.

With that out of the way, let’s jump into ‘Buy/Sell’ for match week three!

13

Buy: Sergio Aguero – Forward, Manchester City, 13.1

Aguero has proven that he is an absolute must own at this point. He is currently the player who is most owned, has the most goals, fantasy points, and is part of the best attack in the Premier League. He’s a must captain option this week unless you also own…

11

Buy: Zlatan Ibrahimovic – Forward, Manchester United, 11.7

Zlatan has already gone up in price twice and may well end up moving up even more soon due to 230k+ people adding him this week. Like Aguero he is very expensive and massively owned (both over 50%) but if they continue to score goals you can’t afford to not own them. I do not imagine Hull, despite their hot start, will be able to slow down this Manchester United attack.

Sell: Alexis Sanchez – Midfielder, Arsenal, 11.0

As I wrote last week, Alexis does not look at his best and he’s simply not worth 11.0 at this point. It’s possible he will turn things around this week with the likely return of several key players (Ozil, Giroud, etc) but I’d rather be a week or two late than jump in now only to be disappointed.

10

Buy: Eden Hazard – Midfielder, Chelsea, 10.1

This is starting to look a lot like last week’s article. Despite that, Hazard continues to play well and is cruising past right backs with ease. It’s possible he takes a hit if Chelsea change formation to fit a red-hot Michy Batshuayi into the squad but we can cross that bridge if/when we come to it. Burnley has been solid at the back this season conceding just one goal, but I figure Chelsea can win this one on individual ability alone.

Sell: Harry Kane – Forward, Tottenham Hotspur, 10.9

Last match was a perfect chance to score as Kane was averaging more than four shots on target per game against Crystal Palace. Unfortunately he failed to get on the score sheet which brings to light an equally impressive statistic – Kane has never scored in the month of August. Ever. I’m out on Kane for now due to his summertime futility and underdeveloped partnership with Vincent Janssen.

9

Buy: Riyad Mahrez – Midfielder, Leicester City, 9.5

The crafty Algerian has put in a pair of solid performances and will look to tear apart a struggling Swansea side. His partner in crime last season, Jamie Vardy, showed signs of life against Arsenal and his form and finishing are required for Mahrez to reach his fantasy best. The early issues with the other original 9.5 midfielders, Martial aside, makes Mahrez the way to go at that price point.

Sell: Henrikh Mkhitaryan – Midfielder, Manchester United, 9.3

Mkhitaryan is one of those aforementioned original 9.5 who has had issues. More specifically, issue, singular. He has yet to get a start in the Premier League despite looking terrific every time he’s come on as a sub. Like many others in this list, I’d like to see what I’m getting before spending that kind of money.

8

Buy: Raheem Sterling – Midfielder, Manchester City, 8.0

Sterling continues to impress under Guardiola and looks to have locked down his spot on the left wing. The pacey winger has been making much better decisions on the pitch which has led to him earning two penalties and three open play assists in 270 minutes of action this season (all competitions). If Sterling lives up to his potential he will be both an absolute steal at 8.0 and a great differential at just 4% owned.

Sell: Paul Pogba – Midfielder, Manchester United, 8.5

If this were any other format Pogba would be on the buy list but I’m not sure he will make a big enough impact in goals and assists to warrant this price. Hull will likely be unable to cope with Pogba in the midfield so he may well get into some dangerous positions. I feel like I’m out on a limb with this one, so let’s see how this one goes.

7

Buy: Christian Benteke – Forward, Crystal Palace, 7.4

I’m usually more cautious with new signings but both Benteke and Crystal Palace’s playing styles are known quantities. Even in a ‘down season’ Benteke still managed nine goals and three assists despite getting just fourteen starts in 2015/16. Assuming he starts in MW3 he will face Bournemouth’s defence who, while full of interesting individuals for fantasy, conceded the second most goals last season.

Sell: Odion Ighalo – Forward, Watford, 7.4

Frankly, Ighalo has looked awful this season. The shift to 3-5-2 under new manager Walter Mazzarri has not suited him well and Ighalo has only mustered one shot this season. The additions of Roberto Pereyra and Daryl Janmaat should help improve the Watford attack, but that’s more likely a long-term fix more than a quick one.

6

Buy: Nathan Redmond – Midfielder, Southampton,  6.1

He just missed the list last week because of Abel Hernandez and, in my defence, that was the right call. Now should be Redmond’s chance to shine against a patchwork Sunderland defence who have conceded twice in their last two games and are now without starting goalkeeper Vito Mannone for months.

Sell: Ander Herrera – Midfielder, Manchester United, 6.5

After his start in MW1, I assumed Herrera had won a midfield spot. How foolish of me. We’re now exactly where we were at this point last season with no Manchester United central midfielder being worth their price.

5

Buy: Kyle Walker – Defender, Tottenham Hotspur, 5.1

Oh hey, look, my first biased pick of the season! Walker has been terrific in both matches thus far and is currently the third highest earning defender in FPL. While Liverpool will be an interesting matchup this week, just hold tight as only one of his six following matches are against a top ten attack from last season.

Sell: Victor Wanyama – Midfielder, Tottenham Hotspur, 5.0

At time of writing, 85,110 people have brought Victor Wanyama into their teams. Why that many people think a defensive midfielder, who is averaging about one goal every twenty matches, will repeat the feat anytime soon is beyond me.

4

Buy: Jordan Pickford/Eldin Jakupovic – Defender, Swansea City, 4.0

There are two main strategies when it comes to goalkeepers – Star/Scrub or two low price guys with a good rotation. On the whole you do not want to spend more than 9.5 on the position so if you have a 5.0 or 5.5 keeper, these guys are perfect as your second option.

Sell: Etienne Capoue – Midfielder, Watford, 4.6

Like Wanyama, people are just determined to sign defensive midfielders. While it is true that Capoue was getting further forward than in years past, the addition of Pereyra will likely see him revert to his familiar deep role.

 

TEB FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE TOP TEN

Rank Team & Manager GW TOT
up For Fuchs Ake – Declan Wood 90 161
same Abra-Mandanda – Matthew Freeman 70 145
new Glen’s Eagles – Glen Samuel 70 140
same Dynamo Dan Dan – Daniel Bright 70 138
down Dad all over again – Wayne Byrne 55 134
up The Eagles – Tim Green 74 131
down Umedalens IF – Elias Ericsson 60 127
up Regals Eagles – Jonathan Miles 66 127
up Bentley’s Legends – Ian Bentley 72 125
10  down Why Even Bother? – Daniel Bimson 63 125

 

 

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