Fantasy Preview – Match Week 31
With only half the quota of games in the Premier League last weekend I felt it worthless previewing from a fantasy perspective but here we go with my tips for your teams ahead of a bumper round of games.
Buy: Harry Kane – Forward, Tottenham Hotspur, 10.3
Kane has scored four goals in his last five matches, but actually should have had more. With twelve shots on target over that period and his league high 62% strike rate, Kane ‘should’ have scored seven goals! Next up for Tottenham are Bournemouth who have been very good the past few weeks, but sit in the bottom five amongst defences on the season.
Sell: Diego Costa – Forward, Chelsea, 10.7
Costa is out suspended until MW33 following the first red card in his Chelsea career.
Buy: Mesut Ozil – Midfielder, Arsenal, 9.8
The German is averaging 6.6 points per game over his last five, creating eighteen chances in the process. Hopefully some of those chances turn into assists against Everton’s thirteenth ranked defence, however the lack of an in-form forward at Arsenal does hurt Ozil’s stock a bit.
Sell: David Silva – Midfielder, Manchester City, 9.9
Despite costing more than Ozil, Silva is averaging three points less per game. It has become abundantly clear that Manchester City’s main focus is the Champions League and as such I am down on almost all of their players. After this weekends Manchester derby they face West Bromwich Albion and Bournemouth who are both top five in goals allowed over their last five games.
Buy: Roberto Firmino – Midfielder, Liverpool, 8.2
He does have tough matchups, but I am willing to buy now especially considering Liverpool are the only team that plays in MW35 that also have double matches in MW34 and MW37. I was concerned that he may be pushed out wide with Philippe Coutinho and Daniel Sturridge returning from injury, but it seems Jurgen Klopp will allow him the free role that has led to his recent success.
Sell: Romelu Lukaku – Forward, Everton, 8.8
I know a lot of people are hopping back on the Lukaku hype train after seeing his wonder goal against Chelsea, but do not jump on too early. He is definitely on form, I am just not sure that form will trump his upcoming fixtures when he consecutively faces four of the top five defences in the Premier League (Arsenal, Manchester United, Watford, Southampton).
Buy: Gylfi Sigurdsson – Midfielder, Swansea City, 7.3
Only Sergio Aguero has scored more league goals in 2016 than Sigurdsson! His chances created are down largely due to Paloschi being more of a hold-up striker, but Siggy has been bringing the goals and now faces an Aston Villa side who have conceded a mind boggling seventeen goals in their last five matches.
Sell: Ross Barkley – Midfielder, Everton, 7.1
You are not selling Barkley because Everton are not scoring goals, you are selling him because he has been involved in just two of their last fifteen! I would sell him even if they had a favourable schedule going forward and guess what? They do not.
Buy: Salomon Rondon – Forward, West Bromwich Albion, 6.5
Rondon has quietly gone on a tear the past few weeks with three goals and an assist in his last five matches. While he is not a high volume shooter his finishing rate has been insane, scoring on four of his last five shots on target. Norwich City and their second worst defence will have a tough test ahead of them this weekend.
Sell: Benik Afobe – Forward, Bournemouth, 6.1
Bournemouth scored six goals in their last two games (Newcastle United, Swansea City) yet Afobe contributed to an impressive 0% of them. In fact, he failed to even put a shot on target! Do you think he will turn it around against Tottenham and their league best defence? Yeah, me either.
Buy: Bertrand Traore – Midfielder, Chelsea, 5.4
The youngster looks set to get the start up top for Chelsea with Diego Costa out of the picture and Alexandre Pato looking like one of the strangest signings in recent memory. Traore has two goals and an assist in his last three appearances and at a listed 0.0% owned is literally the biggest differential you could possibly have! His next three opponents (West Ham United, Aston Villa, and Swansea City) have each conceded more than eight goals in their last five matches.
Sell: Erik Pieters – Defender, Stoke City, 5.0
Yes he is injured, but he was droppable anyway. With no goals, one assist, and just two clean sheets in his last twelve he just is not worth the price. I know the next two matchups look decent on paper (Watford, Swansea City) but Stoke City have made a habit of giving away cheap goals and if Stoke do not keep a clean sheet, Pieters has no value.
Buy: Daryl Janmaat – Defender, Newcastle United, 4.8
Looking for a sneaky play? How about Janmaat? He is owned in just 2.1% of leagues and now has Rafa Benitez at the helm who should be able to make the Newcastle defence look somewhat competent. Considering how often Janmaat gets forward he could notch a fair few points against Sunderland, Norwich City, Southampton, and Swansea City over the next four.
Sell: Wayne Hennessey – Goalkeeper, Crystal Palace, 4.2
It seems he is on the verge of losing his job, but he would be droppable even if he was not. He has failed to keep a clean sheet in 2016.
TEB Fantasy Football League (top 10)
|2||Chelsea Dagger||David Gilbert||61||1,702|
|3||Crystal Phallus FC||Simon Dixon||58||1,691|
|4||Money Cabaye Success||Matt Jones||31||1,684|
|5||Wei’s Tight Shorts||Mark Bailey||52||1,673|
|6||Tea and Busquets||Lewis Carter||50||1,670|
|7||Game on Weddell!||Jonathan Bailey||75||1,665|
|8||Best Weston||Asher Weston||60||1,655|
|9||E Pluribus Anus||Rory Jackson||47||1,655|
|10||How The Mighty Rise||Clive Mitchell||50||1,646|